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Quantitative Models of Social-Ecological-Technical Systems

48 models available

  • A model of robustness tradeoffs in social-ecological system
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Feedback control systems in general exhibit inherent robustness-fragility tradeoffs. That is, by becoming very robust to a given set of disturbances for maintaining stability, feedback systems necessarily introduce hidden fragilities …
  • Analyzing the Impact of Agave Cultivation on Famine Risk in Arid Pre-Hispanic Northern Mexico
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Here, a simple model of a subsistence economy based solely on the cultivation of maize and agave is presented. While maize is an annual plant that humans can eat and …
  • Animated demonstration of the Lorenz Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Animated demonstration of the Lorenz model and its sensitivity to initial conditions. The simulation starts with twenty points very close to each other, and follows them as they move further …
  • A Two-Sector Growth Model: Economic Development, Demographics, and Renewable Resources
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a two-sector growth model that couples the dynamics of human demographics and a renewable resource base. The two sectors are agricultural and manufacturing sectors. To capture both the positive (Malthusian) …
  • Australian Rangelands Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model tells a story of resilience of a rangeland system in Australia. Anderies et al. (2002) provides the following overview of the model. \"We developed a stylized mathematical model …
  • Brander-Taylor Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is the original Brander-Taylor Easter Island model. Brander and Taylor (1998) describes the model as the following: \"The paper presents a general equilibrium model of renewable resource and population …
  • Conflict between groups of players in coupled socio-economic and ecological dynamics
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a model for the coupled dynamics of conflict between two different user groups regarding their socioeconomic choice (between cooperative and non-cooperative collective action) and nutrient loading input level …
  • Culture and Human Agro-ecosystem Dynamics: the Tsembaga of New Guinea
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    The model of Tsembaga agro-ecology explores the coupled dynamics involving population growth, renewable resource base, resource consumption by humans, and the self-regulating effect of cultural ritual. The model demonstrates that …
  • Demographic-Fiscal Model of the Growth and Collapse of Agrarian States
    Type: SES Library XPP model
     Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:\"Table Normal\"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:\"\"; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:8.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:107%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; …
  • Dynamics of coupled populations in an open, three-trophic-level system
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model explicitly incorporates the immigration and emigration processes in the context of three-trophic-level systems (e.g., a stream reach), and reveals how the coupled populations will change in response to the …
  • Ecological-economic model for optimal control of fire-driven, semi-arid rangelands
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is an ecological-economic model that endogenizes discontinuous change between states of fire-driven, semi-arid rangelands which may exist in varying degrees as grassland and woodlands depending partly on the given …
  • Effect of infrastructure design on commons dilemmas
    Type: SES Library XPP model
     The authors address the question of how infrastructure design affects SES sustainability in two stages. First, they explore the effects of design variations in shared infrastructure on long-term system behavior …
  • Effects of population and population pressure on forest resources and their conservation: a modeling study
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    in this model, cumulative density of forest resources and population density use generalized logistic models with predatory-prey type nonlinear interactions. The model is an effort to capture not only the …
  • Fishery Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a standard Gordon-Schaefer model that simulates a simple open-access fishery in discrete time. A fishery stock grows logistically and is harvested by humans. Fishers always exert too much …
  • Fractal Poverty Traps
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    The dynamic model for poverty traps contains parameters as government policies and technologies, and variables such as income, expenditures, assets holdings and anthropometric status. This dynamic model for poverty traps …
  • Human and nature dynamics (HANDY): Modeling inequality and use of resources in the collapse or sustainability of societies
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    HANDY is a 4-variable thought-experiment model for interaction of humans and nature. The focus is on predicting long-term behavior rather than short-term forecasting. Carrying Capacity is developed as a practical …
  • Leukopoiesis Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    # Eqn 1:#β(Q) is the introduction rate#β0 represents the maximal rate of introduction in the proliferating phase#θ1 is the value for which β reaches half of its maximal value#n is …
  • Life table
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    The life table model is one of the type of survival analysis which pertains to \"time to event\". The information that were accumulated throughout the study is one of the …
  • Living in a network of scaling cities and finite resources
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    A modified Lotka-Volterra system in which multiple consumers and resource systems are connected by both consumer-consumer and consumer-resource links. Consumers represent cities, and thus exhibit nonlinear scaling behaviors as population …
  • Lorenz Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This simple model was developed by Edward Lorenz in 1963 to study fluid mechanics (based on Navier-Stokes equations). It is the first ever model of a chaotic dynamical system. Chaos arises …
  • Lotka-Volterra Competition
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Symmetric competition model
  • Malthusian Population Growth and Crisis in Pre-Industrial Agrarian Societies
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Most models of Malthusian population dynamics specify logistic growth to a carrying capacity, but the historical record of agrarian societies strongly suggests that repeated cycles of overshoot and collapse (so-called …
  • Mathematics of Marital Conflict
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This discrete time model represents a coupled system as seen through talk turns in a conversation between a wife and husband where each exerts influence dynamically on the other. Cook …
  • Measuring Riparian Width
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model is a modification of an older model by Camporeale and Ridolfi (2006) that studied the influence of river flow variability on the distribution of biomass of riparian vegetation. …
  • Modeling Human Ecodynamics and Biocultural Interactions in the Late Pleistocene of Western Eurasia
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Exploring the dynamic feedbacks between biological and cultural evolutionary systems is critical to understanding the origins of modern human behavior. The authors present a population dynamics model using ordinary differential …
  • Non-linear dynamics of population and natural resources: The emergence of different patterns of development
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model explores the long-term dynamic interaction between the exploitation of natural resources and population growth. This is a variant of Brander and Taylor (1998). The reference article, D'Alessandro (2007), …
  • Paradox of marine protected areas: suppression of fishing may cause species loss
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a simple model of a prey–predator system in two areas, one of which receives fishing activity (fishing ground) and another that does not (MPA: marine protected area). Takashina …
  • Pezzey-Anderies Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model describes the Pezzey-Anderies extension to the Brander-Taylor Easter Island model. In addition to the parameters in the Brandor-Taylor model, Pezzey and Anderies have introduced $tax$ and $h_m$. Pezzey …
  • Predator-Prey Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a simple predator-prey model with type I or II functional response (depending on parameter choices). The model is also known as the Lotka–Volterra equation. Prey grows logistically and …
  • Pumpa Irrigation System
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    In this case, the surface water level is modeled by a first order differential equation. There are six sections with equal area that are allocated water based on institutions that …
  • Refined Pumpa Irrigation System Model
    Type: OpenABM agent-based model
    This is a refined model of robustness and vulnerability trade-off of Pumpa irrigation system
  • Regime shifts in a socio-ecological model of farmland abandonment
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a simple model with reciprocal feedbacks between social and ecological dynamics of farmland abandonment. With the rising urbanization, human migration to urban centers have increased significantly around the …
  • Resource Dynamics Under Harvest and Sunk Cost Effects
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a simple model for resource dynamics under harvest. The authors added expected effects of investment in fixed structures on the dynamics of settlement. These sunk-cost effects are not …
  • Robustness and Resilience across Scales: Migration and Resource Degradation in the Prehistoric U.S. Southwest
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a simple model that integrates 1) resource-population dynamics, 2) population migration, and 3) spatial heterogeneity in biophysical conditions (i.e., soi fertility). The reference article, Anderies and Hegmon (2011), …
  • Robustness, institutions, and large-scale change in social-ecological systems: the Hohokam of the Phoenix Basin
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a model that illustrates the relationship among levels of (1) population, (2) human-made capital, (3) natural capital , and (4) resource consumption. The key insight to be gained …
  • Simple Model of Farming/Gathering Transition
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a stylised model capturing \"the interdependencies of foraging, farming and productivity of an ecosystem\" and can be used to \"explore alternative scenarios of niche construction and ecological inheritance.\" …
  • Social Ostracism and Resource Management
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This replicator dynamics model considers the case of a common-pool resource system where social ostracism may be used to compel non-complying harvesters to avoid over-exploitation of the resource base. Here, …
  • Spread of ideas based on epidemiological models
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Models inspired by epidemiology and informed by the sociology of the spread dynamics, are applied to the diffusion of a specific scientific idea. Although the example will clearly not cover …
  • Subtle global bifurcation with dramatic ecological consequences in a simple population model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model presents an example of a global bifurcation (a heteroclinic connection). The model is a three-dimensional system with two resources and a single consumer, where one of the resources …
  • The coupled dynamics of human socio-economic choice and lake water system: the interaction of two sources of nonlinearity
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Here, we present a model of the coupled dynamics between human socioeconomic choice (between cooperative and non-cooperative collective action) and nutrient loading input level into a lake water system. Suzuki …
  • The Discrete Logistic
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    The logistic is the simplest representation of population dynamics  that contains a minimum level of biological realism.  If we imagine a  population of individuals at time t, the number of …
  • The effect of scaling and connection on the sustainability of a socio-economic resource system
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Most modeling exercises on resource-population dynamics of a socio-economic system assume that many growth-related phenomena are linearly related to population size. The model presented here departs from this linear thinking …
  • The Evolution of Social Norms in Common Property Resource Use
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a simple evolutionary game model (based on replicator equations) that couples evolution of users' social norms and renewable resource dynamics. The reference article, Sethi and Somanathan (1996), provides …
  • The inevitability of surprise in agroecosystems
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This is a simple model of competition between noxious and benigne weeds in an agroecosystem based on predator-prey dynamics. The interesting aspect of this model is that it demonstrates the …
  • Tourists and traditional divers in a common fishing ground
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    A social-ecological model of a fishing ground open to eco-tourism is presented here. To assess the impact of introducing eco-tourism on the welfare of the fishing association and on the …
  • Two-actor conflict with time delay: A dynamical model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    Based on previous mathematical studies, the authors created a model to analyze the conflict dynamics between two actors. In this model, they modified previous nonlinear dynamical models by Liebovitch et …
  • Waterwheel Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model describes the dynamics of a waterwheel. The wheel has 10 cups that are filled when as they pass over the top of the arc of the wheel (imagine …
  • World-Earth System Model
    Type: SES Library XPP model
    This model is a very simple regional growth model with a single global externality.